De Beers Production Up, But the Market Signal Is Misleading
De Beers reported a 17% year-on-year increase in rough diamond production for Q1 2026, reaching 7.1 million carats. At face value, the figure suggests strengthening momentum. However, a deeper analysis reveals a far more measured reality.
The increase is primarily operational, not demand-driven. Output surged 88% quarter-on-quarter, largely due to a rebound from a deliberately reduced Q4 2025 production base. Key contributors included planned ore releases from the Gahcho Kué mine in Canada and higher underground volumes at Venetia in South Africa both outcomes of long-established mine plans rather than responses to improving market conditions.
This distinction is critical. Production growth tied to mine development cycles does not reflect rising consumer demand. Instead, it highlights the timing of extraction phases within capital-intensive, long-term mining programmes.
More telling is the divergence between volume and value. While production rose 17%, De Beers’ average realised prices declined by 19% over the same period. This inverse relationship underscores ongoing softness in the natural diamond market, where increased supply is not being met with corresponding demand.
Angola Expands Ambitions with Rio Tinto Joint Venture
In a strategic move to expand its diamond sector, Rio Tinto has entered into a joint venture with Angola’s state-owned Endiama to develop the Chiri project.
The new entity, Sociedade Mineira do Chiri, will be majority owned by Rio Tinto (75%), with the remaining stake held by Endiama. Located in Angola’s resource-rich eastern region, the project has already shown promising kimberlite indications following early-stage exploration.
While capital expenditure has yet to be allocated, the initiative reflects Angola’s broader strategy to increase diamond output and attract foreign investment. This comes at a time when global diamond prices remain under pressure, reinforcing the long-term nature of such investments rather than any short-term pricing optimism.
DiaDNA: A Technological Leap in Diamond Traceability
KP Sanghvi & Sons has introduced DiaDNA, a next-generation traceability platform that represents a significant advancement in diamond authentication.
Unlike traditional methods that rely on inscriptions, documentation, or external markers, DiaDNA analyses the diamond at an atomic level using advanced scanning and artificial intelligence. This process generates a unique structural “fingerprint” inherent to the stone itself immutable and impossible to replicate.
Each fingerprint is securely stored in a cloud-based system, allowing verification at any stage of the supply chain, from manufacturing through to retail. The technology enables:
- Independent, real-time authentication
- Enhanced provenance tracking
- Reduced reliance on fragmented paperwork
- Greater transparency for consumers and compliance teams
Fully integrated into KP Sanghvi’s Surat operations since 2024, DiaDNA signals a broader industry shift toward verifiable, data-driven provenance. As expectations around ethical sourcing and transparency continue to rise, such innovations are likely to become central to maintaining trust in natural diamonds.
Market Perspective
The Q1 2026 landscape presents a clear narrative: increased production does not equate to increased demand. While miners continue to execute long-term operational strategies, pricing pressures persist across the market.
At the same time, structural shifts are underway. Nations like Angola are positioning for future supply growth, while technological innovation exemplified by DiaDNA is redefining how diamonds are tracked, authenticated, and ultimately trusted.
For the trade, the message is precise: understanding the difference between operational supply growth and genuine market demand has never been more important.
Source: DCLA











